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022_000045/0000

European politics. Crises, fears, and debates

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Field of science
Európa / Europe (13102), Nemzetközi kapcsolatok / International relations (12875), Globális és nemzetközi kormányzás, nemzetközi jog, emberi jogok / Global and transnational governance, international law, human rights (12880)
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tanulmánykötet
022_000045/0021
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022_000045/0021

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20 | Zoltan Simon level; the rapid ageing of the population; the end of mass emigration from, and the beginning of immigration to Europe; accompanied by significant changes in social rules and behaviour in European societies (Livi-Bacci 2000 quoted in Berend 2010, 222). These demographic dynamics generate profound political consequences. The prospects of a declining European population create economic pressure and fears, ageing societies threaten the viability of public health and social security systems, with special regard to pensions, and they also contribute to emerging intergenerational tensions. Immigration has often been proposed as the only viable solution to these developments. However, the refugee and migration crisis of the 2010s made the in-built controversies of this vision obvious. As Berend explained it already more than a decade ago, well before this migratory wave: Europe’s population is decreasing and aging and the ratio of active to inactive people will be 50:50 in a few decades. Rapidly increasing immigration labor is replacing the inadequate domestic labor force. Immigrant minorities, mostly from non-European Muslim cultures, are rapidly increasing. Integration or assimilation is painfully slow, or non-existent. A part of the immigrant population, especially the illegal ones, form anew underclass. Anti-immigrant hostility and intolerance are fueling extreme rightwing political trends. The minority question became a source of explosive tension on the continent. (Berend 2010, 286) It might also be worth mentioning that if demographic decline is a source of unease in Western European societies, this is even more the case in Central and Eastern Europe, which is home to the fastest shrinking population in the world due to a combination of low birth rates, ageing population, and persistent emigration. According to Krastev and Stephen Holmes, this largely unspoken preoccupation with demographic collapse is the key factor behind the domestic demographic panic and the external immigration panic in these societies (Krastev and Holmes 2019, 36-38). Another source of concerns in contemporary European public debates is inequalities. Hartmut Kaelble shows that while income inequalities decreased in Europe in most parts of the 20" century, this trend has reversed since the 1980s, with income differences intensifying again (Kaelble 2013, 157-165). Others are less convinced. In their view, social market economies manage to secure - in global comparison in particular — an advanced level of equality in European societies, where income inequalities have only slightly increased, if at all, over the past decades (e.g. Szewczyk 2021, 77-79). Regarding wealth inequalities, Kaelble claims that while the reduction of disparities in this field was even more impressive, wealth concentration has experienced the same reverse trend since the 1980s in most European countries (Kaelble 2013, 165-168). Thomas Piketty comes to the same conclusion in his acclaimed Capital in the Twenty-First Century, adding

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